Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Thailand | Bugaboo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 40% (14/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/158) | 80% (90/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 46', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 52', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
- 59', Arai Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 59', Kawasaki S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽,
- 71', Fukuda Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
- 77', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 77', Onaga H. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 77', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 90', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 90+5', Rafael Ratao ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
45.6% | Draw
27.2% | Tokyo Verdy
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.19) |
3.44 ↑
(3.37) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
5.9%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tokyo Verdy (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Cerezo Osaka (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Tokyo Verdy (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cerezo Osaka (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerezo Osaka will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Tokyo Verdy?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Cerezo Osaka?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
25.04.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
06.07.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
09.03.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
