Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (188/245) | 88% (393/446) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (188/245) | 88% (393/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 68% (30/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (37/74) | 75% (80/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Camacho D. ⚽, Caro D. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Vilca R. ⚽, Arias A. (A),
- 32', Serra P. 🟨,
- 39', Sen M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 46', Serra P. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
- 52', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 62', Cantt J. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
- 64', Olivares J. ↓, Guzman P. ↑,
- 66', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 78', Camacho D. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 81', Arroyo A. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Nunez J. ⚽,
- 85', Vilca R. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
- 85', Vasquez C. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 90+3', Herrera J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
40.3% | Draw
31% | Cajamarca
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Unidos's performance.Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Unidos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.88) |
3.04 ↑
(2.75) |
3.18 ↑
(2.78) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Comerciantes Unidos (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2.
- Recent performances by Comerciantes Unidos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cajamarca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: F. Rojas
(Elbow Injury)
Villete A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Arce L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Ayovi W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: de Jesus M.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cajamarca?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca were as follows:
25.01.2026
Cajamarca
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
03.10.2025
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cajamarca
2:1
17.05.2025
Cajamarca
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
15.08.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cajamarca
1:1
08.03.2024
Cajamarca
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:3
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
