Corentin Denolly vs Calvin Hemery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Kigali 2 Challenger Men Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery
Result
0:2
05/03/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
58%62%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (25/37)91% (29/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
9% (3/32)32% (12/37)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
58% (37/64)79% (41/52)
Return Points Won
21% (11/52)42% (27/64)
Total Points Won
41% (48/116)59% (68/116)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Corentin Denolly
22.5%
Calvin Hemery
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.
  • Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calvin Hemery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.05
    (3.01)

    1.2
    (1.35)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Denolly is ranked ATP: 330. Hemery is ranked ATP: 175.
    • Denolly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Hemery is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Hemery is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Hemery to win the game is with odds 1.33.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Denolly won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery were as follows:
    20.06.2024 Calvin Hemery - Corentin Denolly 2:1
    18.04.2024 Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery 0:2
    06.03.2024 Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery Denolly C. retired
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly
    Latest results of Calvin Hemery
    04.03.2025 Yanki Erel - Calvin Hemery 0:2
    25.02.2025 Calvin Hemery - Maximilian Neuchrist Hemery C. retired
    24.02.2025 Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (RET.) (1)Marti Pujolras A.0 : 1
    2Sanchez Jover C.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Neuchrist M. (WC)Tabur C.0 : 2
    4Picchione A. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (7)0 : 2
    5Royer V. (4)Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    6Agamenone F. (Q)Martin A. (WC)2 : 1
    7Schwaerzler J. J.Pennaforti G. (Q)0 : 2
    8Chazal M.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Jianu F. C. (8)Michalski D. (Q)1 : 2
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Janvier M.2 : 0
    12Pavlovic L. (Q)Taberner C. (3)2 : 0
    13Tomic B. (6)Ionel N. D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Den Ouden G. (Alt)Misolic F.2 : 0
    15Coulibaly E. (Alt)Denolly C.0 : 2
    16Erel Y. (Q)Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marti Pujolras A.Houkes M.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    3Royer V. (4)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Pennaforti G.Neumayer L. (5)2 : 0
    5Michalski D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Erhard M.Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    7Ionel N. D.Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    8Denolly C.Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Houkes M.Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Royer V. (4)Pennaforti G.2 : 0
    3Cecchinato M.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Den Ouden G.Hemery C. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Houkes M.Royer V. (4)0 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Den Ouden G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Royer V. (4)Den Ouden G.2 : 0