Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Otto Virtanen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
61
1st serve percentage
50%70%
1st serve points won
72% (26/36)73% (35/48)
2nd serve points won
44% (16/36)57% (12/21)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)90% (9/10)
1st return points won
27% (13/48)28% (10/36)
2nd return points won
43% (9/21)56% (20/36)
Break Points Converted
10% (1/10)50% (3/6)
Winners
1721
Unforced errors
3227
Net points won
61% (11/18)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
58% (42/72)68% (47/69)
Return Points Won
32% (22/69)42% (30/72)
Total Points Won
45% (64/141)55% (77/141)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
73% (8/11)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Pierre-Hugues Herbert
31.6%
Otto Virtanen
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 65.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.
  • Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.26)

    1.39
    (1.55)
    3.8%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Virtanen will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Otto Virtanen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Herbert is ranked ATP: 157. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 128.
    • Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Virtanen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Virtanen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Virtanen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen were as follows:
    08.03.2024 Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen 0:2
    Latest results of Otto Virtanen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1