Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 50% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (26/36) | 73% (35/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 90% (9/10) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 28% (10/36) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 56% (20/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 68% (47/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (22/69) | 42% (30/72) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (64/141) | 55% (77/141) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 59% (13/22) |
Chances of winning
Pierre-Hugues Herbert 31.6% | Otto Virtanen 68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-3%)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.12 ↑ (2.26) |
|
1.39 ↓ (1.55) |
3.8% (8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Virtanen will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Otto Virtanen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Herbert is ranked ATP: 157. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 128.
- Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Virtanen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Virtanen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Virtanen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pierre-Hugues Herbert won against Otto Virtanen?
Pierre-Hugues Herbert has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Otto Virtanen won against Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Otto Virtanen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen were as follows:
08.03.2024
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
-
Otto Virtanen
0:2
Latest results of Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Latest results of Otto Virtanen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |