Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (43/55) | 78% (53/68) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 40% (18/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (16/68) | 22% (12/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 52% (24/46) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (65/101) | 63% (71/113) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (42/113) | 36% (36/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (107/214) | 50% (107/214) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Naomi Osaka
48.3% | Ludmilla Samsonova
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludmilla Samsonova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.32) |
|
1.83 ↑
(1.56) |
4.9%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Samsonova will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Samsonova (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Osaka is ranked WTA: 52. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 18.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Naomi Osaka won against Ludmilla Samsonova?
Naomi Osaka has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludmilla Samsonova won against Naomi Osaka?
Ludmilla Samsonova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova were as follows:
20.03.2025
Naomi Osaka
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
2:0
25.04.2024
Naomi Osaka
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
1:2
09.03.2024
Ludmilla Samsonova
-
Naomi Osaka
0:2
Latest results of Naomi Osaka
Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kenin S. (Q) | Masarova R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomova V. (Q) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. | Krueger A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dolehide C. (Q) | Jabeur O. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shnaider D. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vondrousova M. | Keys M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Frech M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Anisimova A. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Osaka N. (WC) | Samsonova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Badosa P. (8) | Lys E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Rybakina E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (4) | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shnaider D. | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Frech M. | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Samsonova L. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Badosa P. (8) | Navarro E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jabeur O. | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Anisimova A. | Samsonova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Badosa P. (RET.) (8) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Vondrousova M. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
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