Result
 
                    4:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/07/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Jia League - Round 17
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.20 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 35% | 65% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (164/245) | 81% (367/453) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.20 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.86 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 13 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 24 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 6 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 21 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (164/245) | 81% (367/453) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 34% (27/80) | 51% (39/76) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 54% (46/85) | 68% (103/151) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 36% (9/25) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.45 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 19 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 19 | 21 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 62% (8/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 50 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 29 | 23 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.09 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.14 | -0.91 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
 - 15', 1 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, 
 - 27', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A), 
 - 32', 3 - 0, Samuel A. ⚽, Mbenza G. (A), 
 - 38', 4 - 0, Kunimoto T. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A), 
 - 42', 4 - 1, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Leonardo (A), 
 - 45+2', Felipe 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Ruan Qilong ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑, 
 - 46', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑, 
 - 66', Mbenza G. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑, 
 - 66', Xu Dong ↓, Liu Langzhou ↑, 
 - 68', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Tian Xiangyu ↑, 
 - 75', Tian Yinong ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑, 
 - 77', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Huang Xiyang ↑, 
 - 80', 4 - 2, Carrillo J. ⚽, Tian Xiangyu (A), 
 - 85', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑, 
 - 88', Liu Mingshi ↓, Bai Yutao ↑, 
 - 90+4', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Liaoning Tieren  37.9% | Draw  30.4% | Chongqing Tongliang Long  31.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.4 ↑ (2.1) | 
			   2.99 ↓ (3.35) | 
			   2.87 ↓ (3.06) | 
			   10% (10.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
 - Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
  - The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
 - Including home match between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?
                    
                    
                        
                            Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Liaoning Tieren?
                    
                    
                        
                             Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Chongqing Tongliang Long 
                                - 
                                Liaoning Tieren 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.07.2024 
                                Liaoning Tieren 
                                - 
                                Chongqing Tongliang Long 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.03.2024 
                                Chongqing Tongliang Long 
                                - 
                                Liaoning Tieren 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Liaoning Tieren                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren ✔  | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 65 | 
| 2 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 52:34 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 57 | 
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 52 | 
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 46 | 
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 | 
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 43 | 
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 | 
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:46 | -3 | 36 | 
| 10 | Nanjing City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 | 
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 | 
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 30 | 
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 29 | 
| 14 | Guangxi Pingguo | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 | 
| 15 | Shenzhen Juniors | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | -23 | 25 | 
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions ✔  | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 19:48 | -29 | 13 | 
      Promotion ~ Super League
      Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Liaoning Tieren is Qualified for Super League
Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two