Deportivo La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.24	1.07
Ball Possession
26%	74%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
69% (146/211)	89% (543/611)
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.24	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.94
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	6
Passes
69% (146/211)	89% (543/611)
Long passes
40% (21/53)	63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
58% (37/64)	76% (109/143)
Crosses
43% (6/14)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	0.88
Throw-ins
24	20
Fouls
6	11
Tackles
50% (5/10)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
29	25
Clearances
17	10
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.94	0.07
Goals prevented
-1.06	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Montano B. 🟥,
25', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
25', Monaco M. ↓, Angel Amaya Pena M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
46', Quinones J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
59', Castilla J. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
64', Perez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
74', Gonzalez J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
75', Nieto J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
78', Rovira B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
78', Valencia J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
78', Gonzalez F. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ayrmsw4

Chances of winning

Deportivo La Equidad
19.6%

Draw
28.4%

Deportes Tolima
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

28.2%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.6%

50.7%

Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.67)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	6.1% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Deportes Tolima will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.
La Equidad has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Deportes Tolima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportes Tolima?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

26.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1

10.08.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad 5:1

23.05.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0

18.05.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 2:3

10.02.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 1:1

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

11.10.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 3:2 ✺

06.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 0:4 ✺

12.09.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 2:3 ✺

19.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó 4:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )