BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.461.08
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
64
Passes
78% (353/451)66% (179/272)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.461.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.37
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
39
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1025
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1618
Passes
78% (353/451)66% (179/272)
Long passes
47% (40/86)30% (21/71)
Passes in final third
61% (88/145)54% (54/100)
Crosses
17% (4/23)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.33
Throw ins
2921
Fouls
1816
Tackles
60% (6/10)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5566
Clearances
2846
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.370.36
Goals prevented
-0.630.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
  • 29', Leitans G. 🟨,
  • 40', Kholod A. , Yamada H. ,
  • 41', Papa 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Druzinins D. , Baravykas R. (A),
  • 53', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. , Addai E. ,
  • 61', Yakubu J. , Kopilovs M. ,
  • 61', Kivinda D. , Pinaskins E. ,
  • 62', Puzirevskis A. , Krautmanis J. ,
  • 74', Matyushenko I. 🟨,
  • 80', Ivanovs E. , Aizups R. ,
  • 84', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BFC Daugavpils
42.3%
Draw
27.9%
Grobiņa
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 25.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.28)
    3.27
    (3.6)
    3.07
    (2.62)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Daugavpils (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Grobiņa (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 50%). Grobiņa (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3.
    • Daugavpils is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
    • Daugavpils might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 3.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 4.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa were as follows:
    15.09.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa 3:2
    26.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa 3:2
    04.05.2025 Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils 1:0
    11.03.2025 Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils 3:2
    14.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa 4:0
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latest results of Grobiņa
    25.02.2026 Metta LU - Grobiņa 1:3
    23.11.2025 JDFS Alberts - Grobiņa 0:1
    20.11.2025 Grobiņa - JDFS Alberts 0:0
    09.11.2025 Grobiņa - Auda Riga 2:2
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auda22004:136
    2RFS22003:036
    3Jelgava21103:214
    4FK Liepaja21012:203
    5Grobina21011:2-13
    6Riga FC21015:413
    7Tukums 200020112:3-11
    8Ogre United20111:3-21
    9Super Nova20112:3-11
    10BFC Daugavpils20022:5-30

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