Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/448) | 86% (344/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/448) | 86% (344/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 56% (38/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (138/178) | 68% (56/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Zuleta M. ⚽,
- 39', Mejia R. ↓, Garcia Castillo A. ↑,
- 44', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Preciado P. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 46', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 49', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 52', Jaramillo F. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 61', Barrios M. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
- 62', Sanchez L. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 62', Caicedo J. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 65', Sanchez B. 🟨,
- 77', Bone F. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 77', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Villa F. ↑,
- 78', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/35hwyrx3
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
58.8% | Draw
24.7% | Deportivo Pasto
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.68) |
3.78 ↑
(3.53) |
5.6 ↑
(4.83) |
7.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
- Once Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Once Caldas is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pasto?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
01.10.2025
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
4:0
28.08.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
1:2
18.05.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
2:1
14.10.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
30.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
0:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)
