Result
01/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
43.9% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo Pasto
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Caldas's form might have worsened.Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Pasto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.76) |
3.02 ↓
(3.14) |
3.62 ↓
(5.16) |
8.2%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
- Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pasto?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
28.08.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
1:2
18.05.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
2:1
14.10.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
30.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
0:0
29.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Once Caldas
1:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Draw
Second stage1/8-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | Alianza | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Real Cundinamarca | Pereira | 2 : 2, 3 : 4 |
| 4 | Millonarios | Envigado | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | Junior | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | Quindio | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Dep. Pasto | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Santa Fe | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira | Envigado | |
| 3 | America De Cali | Junior | |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | TBD #8 | |
Semi-finalsFinal
