Northland vs Wellington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Northland - Wellington
Result
43:26
11/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (22 - 14)
  • 2nd Half (21 - 12)

Chances of winning


Northland
47.7%
Draw
4.3%
Wellington
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 3.3% 79.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northland's performance.
  • Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Northland - Wellington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (5.4)
    25.67
    (28)
    2.53
    (1.15)
    -4.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northland won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Wellington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 163:295. (average 18.1:32.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 66:64. (average 22:21.3).
    Latest results of Northland
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    23.08.2025 Auckland - Northland 24:43
    15.08.2025 Northland - Tasman 14:28
    08.08.2025 Northland - Southland 22:17
    Latest results of Wellington
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    24.08.2025 Manawatu - Wellington 38:28
    16.08.2025 Wellington - Otago 41:46
    08.08.2025 Waikato - Wellington 24:35
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7