Result
3:0
13/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Jones K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Evans A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambrian United
56.4% | Draw
23.2% | Caerau Ely
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Cambrian United - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.49) |
3.91 ↓
(3.94) |
4.46 ↓
(5.1) |
10%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- Cambrian United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Caerau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cambrian United is the team to beat.
- We predict that Cambrian United will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambrian United won against Caerau Ely?
Cambrian United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Cambrian United?
Caerau Ely has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambrian United - Caerau Ely were as follows:
07.11.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Cambrian United
2:3
12.04.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Cambrian United
0:2
25.10.2024
Cambrian United
-
Caerau Ely
2:2
16.03.2024
Cambrian United
-
Caerau Ely
2:2
Latest results of Cambrian United
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
