Setúbal vs Leiria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Setúbal - Leiria
17/12/2022 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Setúbal
29%
Draw
28.5%
Leiria
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 27.6% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 27% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Setúbal's form might have worsened.
  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Setúbal - Leiria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.68)
    3.2
    (3.35)
    2.15
    (2.44)
    9.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Latest results of Setúbal
    03.12.2022 Setúbal - Amora 0:0
    27.11.2022 Belenenses - Setúbal 2:1
    13.11.2022 Setúbal - Real SC 3:5
    09.11.2022 Pero Pinheiro - Setúbal 1:4
    Latest results of Leiria
    10.12.2022 Leiria - Real SC 2:1
    04.12.2022 Moncarapachense - Leiria 1:2
    27.11.2022 Leiria - Caldas 2:0
    12.11.2022 Fontinhas - Leiria 1:1
    06.11.2022 Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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