Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Montero Alarcon F. 🟨,
- 27', 🟨,
- 38', Martinez E. ↓, Valoyes Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Montero Alarcon F. ↓, Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Girado S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 54', Lasso M. 🟨,
- 65', Salinas J. 🟨,
- 66', Ruiz A. ↓, Zarante ↑,
- 66', Salinas J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 75', Ararat J. ↓, Casquete L. ↑,
- 75', Rangel L. ↓, Segura A. ↑,
- 75', Arrechea S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
- 75', Valoyes Y. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
- 83', Rueda Juan 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 0, Parra J. ⚽,
- 86', Tapia D. ↓, Rey S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orsomarso
49.8% | Draw
29.6% | Real Santander
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsomarso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Orsomarso - Real Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.71) |
3.1 ↓
(3.4) |
4.47 ↓
(4.6) |
8.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Orsomarso - Real Santander?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orsomarso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 3.
- Recent form of Orsomarso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Santander has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Orsomarso has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Orsomarso is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orsomarso won against Real Santander?
Orsomarso has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santander won against Orsomarso?
Real Santander has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orsomarso - Real Santander were as follows:
14.09.2025
Orsomarso
-
Real Santander
1:0
06.04.2025
Real Santander
-
Orsomarso
0:0
02.10.2024
Real Santander
-
Orsomarso
0:2
11.03.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Santander
4:2
14.09.2023
Orsomarso
-
Real Santander
2:2
Latest results of Orsomarso
Latest results of Real Santander
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | U. Magdalena ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Cartagena ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Quindio ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Envigado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Ind. Yumbo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Tigres | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bogota | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico F.C | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Leones | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
U. Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Quindio is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
