Ituzaingó vs El Porvenir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera C Ituzaingó - El Porvenir
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 10
Ituzaingó - El Porvenir - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
80
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
80
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Gimenez E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Alcalde M. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Faillace A. ,

Chances of winning


Ituzaingó
58.1%
Draw
27.1%
El Porvenir
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 27.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 20.5% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ituzaingó - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.69)
    3.37
    (3.4)
    6.15
    (5.02)
    9.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ituzaingó is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ituzaingó - El Porvenir were as follows:
    24.08.2024 El Porvenir - Ituzaingó 0:0
    27.03.2024 Ituzaingó - El Porvenir 1:4
    Latest results of Ituzaingó
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba16102429:121732
    2Ituzaingo1593316:8830
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza1692518:14429
    4Berazategui1573516:13324
    5Deportivo Espanol1665514:12223
    6Leandro N. Alem1571718:13522
    7Mercedes1663712:16-421
    8Claypole1647516:17-119
    9Def. de Cambaceres1561813:17-419
    10Lugano1654714:19-519
    11Deportivo Muniz164667:10-318
    12El Porvenir1652916:23-717
    13Puerto Nuevo16411112:27-1513


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros17106124:61836
    2Club Lujan1695223:91432
    3Estrella Del Sur1677215:11428
    4Argentino de Rosario1675415:13226
    5Sportivo Barracas1657417:14322
    6Juventud Unida S. M1664617:17022
    7Canuelas1749413:13021
    8Atlas1755723:30-720
    9Deportivo Paraguayo1754813:22-919
    10Yupanqui1746720:22-218
    11General Lamadrid1745816:21-517
    12Central Ballester1637612:17-516
    13Victoriano A1744915:23-816
    14CSR Espanol1736817:22-515

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ituzaingó - El Porvenir?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1
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