Result
3:2
29/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 111 | 70 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 56 | 32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Arregui A. ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
- 32', Felipe Melo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Alexsander ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 46', Felipe Melo ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 46', Guga ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Keno ⚽,
- 50', 1 - 2, Serna K. ⚽, Zanelatto F. (A),
- 52', 2 - 2, Marcelo ⚽, Cano G. (A),
- 58', Marcelo 🟨,
- 60', Martinelli 🟨,
- 60', Arregui A. 🟨,
- 75', Cano G. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 76', PH Ganso 🟨,
- 77', Waterman C. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 79', Keno ↓, Douglas Costa ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, John Kennedy ⚽, Arias J. (A),
- 83', Lagos R. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
- 83', Arregui A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 90+1', Castillo J. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
- 90+2', John Kennedy 🟨,
- 90+4', Marquinhos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
61.2% | Draw
22.2% | Alianza Lima
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-3%)
Fluminense - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.47) |
4.27 ↑
(4.09) |
5.63 ↓
(7.17) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fluminense is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Fluminense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Alianza Lima?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Fluminense?
Alianza Lima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Alianza Lima were as follows:
03.04.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Fluminense
1:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
