Result
0:0
23/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 6
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (536/606) | 80% (242/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (536/606) | 80% (242/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (141/184) | 71% (42/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Sambonino K. 🟨,
- 60', Moran J. 🟨,
- 62', Naula A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 62', Mancilla P. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
- 70', Caicedo Nestor ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 73', Cabeza J. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 79', Sambonino K. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 79', Arias R. 🟨,
- 83', Angulo J. L. 🟨,
- 83', Anangono J. ↓, Mairongo J. ↑,
- 83', Aguas A. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
- 83', Portocarrero S. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
- 90+3', Laurino S. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 90+3', Gonzalez P. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guayaquil City
43.6% | Draw
31.6% | Leones del Norte
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.28) |
2.87 ↑
(2.76) |
3.73 ↑
(3.71) |
8.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guayaquil City: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2.
- Guayaquil City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leones del Norte's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Guayaquil City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Leones del Norte?
Guayaquil City has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Guayaquil City?
Leones del Norte has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte were as follows:
29.10.2025
Leones del Norte
-
Guayaquil City
0:0
27.08.2025
Guayaquil City
-
Leones del Norte
2:1
23.07.2025
Leones del Norte
-
Guayaquil City
2:1
15.05.2025
Guayaquil City
-
Leones del Norte
0:1
18.10.2024
Guayaquil City
-
Leones del Norte
2:0
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
