Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 21', Marcioni J. ↓, Pereyra V. L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez G. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
- 52', Cuzzani F. ↓, Esidin T. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Barolin J. ⚽,
- 62', Garcia F. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Olguin G. ⚽,
- 70', Campos M. ↓, Ayala G. ↑,
- 70', Obradovich F. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Esidin T. ⚽,
- 77', Castro F. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
- 77', Barinaga J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 84', Montiel N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferro Carril Oeste
34.1% | Draw
33.3% | Patronato Parana
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patronato Parana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.04) |
2.79 ↓
(2.91) |
2.86 ↓
(4.08) |
7.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Patronato Parana?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana were as follows:
01.06.2025
Patronato Parana
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
3:0
25.08.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:3
06.04.2024
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Patronato Parana
1:1
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |
