Result
3:0
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 17
- Referee: Gil J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cosi J. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
- 58', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
- 60', Chaves I. 🟨,
- 65', Garcia F. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
- 72', Campos M. 🟨,
- 73', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 80', Rivero F. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
- 80', Romero L. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
- 84', Castro F. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
- 86', Ramirez G. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
- 89', Rueda M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Bonansea A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
40.4% | Draw
31.8% | Ferro Carril Oeste
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.04) |
2.94 ↓
(3.3) |
3.34 ↓
(3.6) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Patronato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Patronato Parana?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
25.08.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:3
06.04.2024
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Patronato Parana
1:1
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
