Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
16/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
hungaryHungarySport 1
italyItalySky Sport Arena, Sky Sport
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.78
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
710
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
555494
Completed Passes
464420
Tackles
1310
Attacks
9677
Dangerous Attacks
5031
Clearances Completed
1015
Crosses Completed
612
Distance Covered (km)
116114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Brandt J. , Hummels M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 43', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hermoso M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Molina N. , Barrios P. ,
  • 46', Morata A. , Correa A. ,
  • 46', Azpilicueta C. , Riquelme R. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Hummels M. (Own goal), Hermoso M. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Correa A. ,
  • 66', Adeyemi K. , Bynoe-Gittens J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Fullkrug N. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 74', 4 - 2, Sabitzer M. ,
  • 84', de Paul R. , Niguez S. ,
  • 86', Sancho J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 90', Brandt J. , Reus M. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
43.9%
Draw
25.9%
Atlético Madrid
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.4% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.31)
    3.73
    (3.62)
    3.18
    (2.96)
    3.9%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 47 - 61.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 14 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.9%72.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Atlético have a series of home games.
    • Borussia D will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lino S. (Yellow Cards) Vitolo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J. (Back Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2