Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 0, El Helwe H. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 1, Polauke P. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, Inanoglu K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Homburg
43.6% | Draw
26.1% | Freiberg
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homburg's performance.Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+5%)
Homburg - Freiberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.37) |
3.52 ↓
(3.56) |
3.04 ↑
(2.53) |
8.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 1.
- Homburg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Freiberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Homburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Freiberg has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Freiberg?
Homburg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Homburg?
Freiberg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Freiberg were as follows:
04.10.2025
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:2
25.04.2025
Homburg
-
Freiberg
1:2
26.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:0
03.04.2024
Homburg
-
Freiberg
0:3
30.09.2023
Freiberg
-
Homburg
2:1
Latest results of Homburg
Latest results of Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grossaspach | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 86:39 | 47 | 67 |
| 2 | Freiberg | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62:33 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Mainz II | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 51:40 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Sandhausen | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:51 | -1 | 51 |
| 5 | FC 08 Homburg | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 63:37 | 26 | 50 |
| 6 | Steinbach Haiger | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 71:53 | 18 | 50 |
| 7 | FSV Frankfurt | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 58:45 | 13 | 50 |
| 8 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 9 | Kassel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 55:50 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Stutt. Kickers | 31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Freiburg II | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 68:67 | 1 | 45 |
| 12 | Walldorf | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 59:62 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | Eintracht Trier | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 43 |
| 14 | Offenbach | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 39 |
| 15 | Alzenau ✔ | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 39:63 | -24 | 26 |
| 16 | Schott Mainz ✔ | 31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 37:78 | -41 | 22 |
| 17 | Balingen ✔ | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 33:79 | -46 | 22 |
| 18 | Bahlinger ✔ | 31 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 28:68 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Alzenau is Relegated to
Schott Mainz is Relegated to
Balingen is Relegated to
Bahlinger is Relegated to
