Vadym Ursu vs Maxim Mrva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/11/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
62%63%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (35/56)64% (48/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)48% (21/44)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
36% (27/75)39% (22/56)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (23/44)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)50% (6/12)
Service Points Won
59% (53/90)58% (68/118)
Return Points Won
42% (50/118)41% (37/90)
Total Points Won
50% (103/208)50% (105/208)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
32.7%
Maxim Mrva
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.8)

    1.38
    (1.39)
    8.4%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 452. Mrva is ranked ATP: 361.
    • Ursu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mrva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ursu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mrva is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ursu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva were as follows:
    03.04.2024 Maxim Mrva - Vadym Ursu Ursu V. retired
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    18.11.2025 Pedro Vives Marcos - Maxim Mrva Vives Marcos P. retired
    22.10.2025 Maxim Mrva - Chris Rodesch 1:2
    17.10.2025 Giles Hussey - Maxim Mrva 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Zakaria F.2 : 0
    2Sorger S.Yevseyev D.1 : 2
    3Albot R.Orlov V.2 : 0
    4Bernet H. (WC)Hussey G. (5)0 : 2
    5Erhard M. (4)Summers M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Molleker R.Fellin P. O.
    7Ursu V.Agafonov E.2 : 0
    8Vives Marcos P. (RET.)Mrva M. (7)1 : 1
    9Sels J. (6)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Alkaya M. (RET.)Opitz J. (Q)0 : 0
    11Elsayed A. (WC)Robertson C. (JR)1 : 2
    12Kellovsky D. (Q)Bar Biryukov P. (3)2 : 0
    13Binda A. (8)Dzhavakian Y. (Q)2 : 0
    14Bassem Sobhy M. (WC)Basic M.2 : 1
    15Blanch D.Fajta P. (Q)0 : 2
    16Samuel T.Simakin I. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Yevseyev D.
    2Albot R.Hussey G. (5)
    3Erhard M. (4)TBD #6
    4Ursu V.Mrva M. (7)
    5Sels J. (6)Opitz J.
    6Robertson C.Kellovsky D.
    7Binda A. (8)Bassem Sobhy M.
    8Fajta P.Samuel T.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2