Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 36
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Salmon L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Gnahoua A. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, McKenzie M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Southport 44.4% | Draw 28.7% | Alfreton Town 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southport's form might have worsened.Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5%)
Southport - Alfreton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (1.75) |
3.4 ↓ (3.5) |
3.63 ↓ (3.9) |
0.6% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.
- Southport is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alfreton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Southport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Southport will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Alfreton Town?
Southport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Southport?
Alfreton Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southport - Alfreton Town were as follows:
16.12.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Southport
1:1
04.02.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Southport
0:2
10.08.2024
Southport
-
Alfreton Town
3:1
27.01.2024
Southport
-
Alfreton Town
2:3
12.08.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Southport
3:1
Latest results of Southport
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |