Result
1:1
16/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', 0 - 1, Hilton S. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 1, Hunt M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town 36.4% | Draw 29.1% | Southport 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Alfreton Town - Southport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↓ (2.72) |
3.19 ↑ (3.11) |
2.66 ↑ (2.58) |
8.9% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - Southport?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Southport will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Alfreton (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 2.
- Alfreton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Southport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Southport?
Alfreton Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Alfreton Town?
Southport has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Southport were as follows:
04.02.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Southport
0:2
10.08.2024
Southport
-
Alfreton Town
3:1
27.01.2024
Southport
-
Alfreton Town
2:3
12.08.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Southport
3:1
21.03.2023
Southport
-
Alfreton Town
0:0
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Latest results of Southport
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 65:49 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 58:47 | 11 | 55 |
| 7 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation