Result
0:5
09/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | beIN Sports |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 93 | 117 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Marcos Rocha (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 49', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
- 62', Moreno A. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 62', Estevao ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
- 62', Lazaro ↓, Rony ↑,
- 69', Amaro K. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 69', Ocampo M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Endrick (A),
- 82', 0 - 3, Endrick ⚽, Rony (A),
- 85', Endrick 🟨,
- 85', Endrick ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 85', Raphael Veiga ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 86', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 86', Lemos L. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 90', Barrios M. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 4, Rony ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 90+6', 0 - 5, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
Chances of winning
Liverpool Montevideo 14.5% | Draw 24.2% | Palmeiras 61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.49 ↑ (5.84) |
3.92 ↓ (4.01) |
1.53 ↓ (1.54) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Liverpool is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Palmeiras?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras were as follows:
11.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Liverpool Montevideo
3:1
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Latest results of Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)