Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (463/554) | 71% (223/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (463/554) | 71% (223/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (45/69) | 31% (25/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (184/241) | 51% (40/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (11/50) | 100% (1/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 66 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Saad M. ⚽, Saber M. (A),
- 38', Magassa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Mohamed T. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 52', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Trezeguet ↑,
- 54', Alaa T. 🟨,
- 55', Abdelrahman El Sakran ↓, Messi ↑,
- 55', Saber M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 69', Bencharki A. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 74', Rabia M. 🟨,
- 74', Alaa T. ↓, Fathy A. ↑,
- 82', Otaka M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 87', Rabia M. ↓, El Sayed Z. ↑,
- 87', Magassa M. ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
- 89', Ibrahim Y. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽,
- 90+1', Lotfi A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Messi 🟨,
- 90+1', Bakri A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Fathy A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
60% | Draw
25.8% | ZED
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Al Ahly Cairo - ZED Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.44) |
3.58 ↓
(3.94) |
6.51 ↓
(7.86) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - ZED?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Al Ahly (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Al Ahly is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- ZED has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Al Ahly will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against ZED?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Al Ahly Cairo?
ZED has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - ZED were as follows:
07.11.2024
ZED
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
11.08.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
ZED
2:1
11.04.2024
ZED
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
