Monterrey vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.10
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (374/441)86% (362/421)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.31
Total shots
149
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2220
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
85% (374/441)86% (362/421)
Long passes
59% (32/54)56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
73% (88/120)69% (70/102)
Crosses
27% (3/11)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.94
Fouls
1111
Tackles
81% (13/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3636
Clearances Total
1714
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.312.28
Goals prevented
0.31-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, de la Rosa R. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Berterame G. , de la Rosa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Guzman V. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 46', Beltran F. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 48', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Alvarado R. , Romo L. (A),
  • 53', Deossa N. 🟨,
  • 65', de la Rosa R. , Ocampos L. ,
  • 67', Chicharito , Pulido A. ,
  • 67', Cowell C. , Camberos H. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 74', Torres O. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 78', Alvarado R. 🟨,
  • 79', Fimbres I. , Cortizo J. ,
  • 79', Berterame G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 80', Romo L. 🟥,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Deossa N. ,
  • 90+3', Padilla Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monterrey
46.1%
Draw
27.7%
Chivas Guadalajara
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 25.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.89)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    3.61
    (3.96)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: Monterrey will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Monterrey will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Thigh Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury) Tapias M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monterrey won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:1
    30.03.2024 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    03.09.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:2
    07.01.2023 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 0:1
    23.08.2022 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:0
    Latest results of Monterrey
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santos Laguna00000:000
    2Monterrey00000:000
    3Cruz Azul00000:000
    4Atlas00000:000
    5Atl. San Luis00000:000
    6Guadalajara Chivas00000:000
    7Necaxa00000:000
    8Pachuca00000:000
    9Toluca00000:000
    10Club America00000:000
    11Puebla00000:000
    12Tigres UANL00000:000
    13UNAM Pumas00000:000
    14Queretaro00000:000
    15Club Tijuana00000:000
    16Club Leon00000:000
    17Juarez00000:000
    18Mazatlan FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN, Univision
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