Monterrey vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Monterrey
32.7%
Draw
27.1%
Chivas Guadalajara
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 27.2% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.73)
    3.46
    (3.38)
    2.32
    (2.36)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 4:2
    05.04.2025 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 3:1
    28.09.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:1
    30.03.2024 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    03.09.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:2
    Latest results of Monterrey
    17.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 1:1
    13.03.2026 Juárez - Monterrey 2:2
    10.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:3
    07.03.2026 Tigres UANL - Monterrey 1:0
    04.03.2026 Monterrey - Querétaro 4:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas1190222:91327
    2Cruz Azul1182122:111126
    3Toluca1174018:61225
    4Pachuca1163214:9521
    5UNAM Pumas1155120:12820
    6Tigres UANL1152417:12517
    7Club America1152413:10317
    8Atlas1152414:16-217
    9Monterrey1142516:12414
    10Club Tijuana1126312:11112
    11Puebla113359:13-412
    12Atl. San Luis1132617:19-211
    13Juarez1032516:19-311
    14Necaxa1131711:16-510
    15Mazatlan FC1131713:22-910
    16Club Leon1131711:23-1210
    17Queretaro101458:16-87
    18Santos Laguna1112812:29-175

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)