KTP Kotka vs FF Jaro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga KTP Kotka - FF Jaro
28/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
KTP Kotka - FF Jaro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.01
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
83% (410/492)79% (302/380)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.923.52
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (410/492)79% (302/380)
Long passes
52% (29/56)52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
71% (86/121)70% (91/130)
Crosses
9% (1/11)30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.81
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1116
Tackles
67% (10/15)36% (5/14)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
3.521.92
Goals prevented
1.52-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Cissoko K. , Bjorkskog A. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Forsell P. (Pen),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Seck A. , Forsell P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 1, Seck A. , Edlund C. (A),
  • 55', Paavola M. 🟨,
  • 61', Elle Essouma F. , Huhtamaki U. ,
  • 65', Polley R. , Bjonback A. ,
  • 65', Valencic F. , Vikstrom R. ,
  • 65', Kahkonen S. , Izountouemoi S. ,
  • 73', Tarvonen A. , Glasson M. ,
  • 77', Cissoko K. , Vidjeskog A. ,
  • 78', Sotelo G. 🟨,
  • 80', Edlund C. , Oddei B. ,
  • 80', Seck A. , Rangel ,
  • 82', Sotelo G. , Myrevik J. ,
  • 88', Oddei B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Ogungbaro M. ,

Chances of winning


KTP Kotka
33.8%
Draw
26.9%
FF Jaro
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka's form might have worsened.
  • FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FF Jaro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FF Jaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KTP Kotka - FF Jaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.45)
    3.49
    (3.53)
    2.46
    (2.79)
    5.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jaro will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 12%65%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.
    • KTP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - FF Jaro were as follows:
    26.04.2025 FF Jaro - KTP Kotka 2:3
    25.08.2024 FF Jaro - KTP Kotka 1:2
    14.07.2024 FF Jaro - KTP Kotka 5:2
    13.05.2024 KTP Kotka - FF Jaro 1:0
    18.09.2022 FF Jaro - KTP Kotka 4:2
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    19.06.2025 Inter Turku - KTP Kotka 5:0
    14.06.2025 Gnistan - KTP Kotka 2:1
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 KPV Kokkola - KTP Kotka 2:0
    23.05.2025 KTP Kotka - Haka 0:0
    Latest results of FF Jaro
    24.06.2025 Ekenäs - FF Jaro 2:4
    18.06.2025 FF Jaro - Oulu 2:1
    14.06.2025 SJK - FF Jaro 3:1
    11.06.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    01.06.2025 FF Jaro - Inter Turku 0:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS1693427:171030
    2Ilves1592433:171629
    3Inter Turku1376026:91727
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6VPS1453621:21018
    7Gnistan1344518:24-616
    8Haka1343616:23-715
    9Mariehamn1443714:29-1515
    10Jaro1342715:20-514
    11AC Oulu1423918:30-129
    12KTP1323814:33-199

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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