Leevon PPK vs Smiltene – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian 1 Liga Leevon PPK - Smiltene
Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', Kirkils G. , Hibsmanis V. ,
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kravcenko K. ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Liepins L. ,
  • 32', Hibsmanis V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Baumanis R. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Leevon PPK
45.1%
Draw
23.3%
Smiltene
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 23.1% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 22% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leevon PPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Leevon PPK - Smiltene Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.2)
    3.92
    (3.9)
    2.9
    (2.5)
    9.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • Leevon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Smiltene's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Smiltene may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leevon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leevon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leevon PPK - Smiltene were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Smiltene - Leevon PPK 0:4
    11.08.2024 Leevon PPK - Smiltene 2:2
    13.04.2024 Smiltene - Leevon PPK 0:2
    Latest results of Leevon PPK
    Latest results of Smiltene
    23.08.2025 Mārupe - Smiltene 0:3
    09.08.2025 Smiltene - Skanstes 1:2
    01.08.2025 Riga 2 - Smiltene 0:2
    27.07.2025 Smiltene - JDFS Alberts 2:4
    20.07.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene 2:0
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga Mariners18133252:213142
    2Ogre United18132353:173641
    3Alberts JDFS18116141:172439
    4JFK Ventspils18107132:161637
    5RFS 21895434:201432
    6Skanste1875625:29-426
    7Marupe1881922:25-325
    8Leevon PPK1873831:30124
    9FK Smiltene18711035:32322
    10Rezekne1856720:39-1921
    11Tukums 2000 218411323:41-1813
    12Augsdaugavas18341115:35-2013
    13AFA Olaine18231322:63-419
    14Riga FC 218151215:35-208

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