Damon Heta vs Michael Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
08/03/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: European Tour 1 - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungaryNet4+
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polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Damon Heta
50.9%
Michael Smith
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Damon Heta - Michael Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.87)

    1.9
    (1.88)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Heta is ranked World Ranking: 7. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 17.
    • Recent matches Heta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Smith is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:22 (average 4.2:4.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Damon Heta - Michael Smith were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Michael Smith - Damon Heta 6:5
    Latest results of Damon Heta
    Latest results of Michael Smith
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Bye
    2De Decker M.Kraft M.6 : 4
    3Smith R. (16)Bye
    4Gurney D.Robak D. (Q)6 : 1
    5Searle R. (8)Bye
    6Springer N.Reyes C.3 : 6
    7Rock J. (9)Bye
    8O'Connor W.Harrysson A.6 : 4
    9van Gerwen M. (4)Bye
    10Woodhouse L.Sneyd C.6 : 2
    11Dobey C. (13)Bye
    12Heta D.Scutt C.4 : 6
    13Clayton J. (5)Bye
    14van Duijvenbode D.Gawlas A.3 : 6
    15Price G. (12)Bye
    16Cullen J.Kciuk K. (Q)6 : 2
    17Humphries L. (2)Bye
    18Ratajski K.Mansell M.6 : 3
    19Schindler M. (15)Bye
    20Joyce R.Krcmar B.3 : 6
    21Bunting S. (7)Bye
    22Zonneveld N.Maciejczak P. (Q)6 : 2
    23Noppert D. (10)Bye
    24Wattimena J.Grudziecki M. (Q)6 : 4
    25van Veen G. (3)Bye
    26Gilding A.de Graaf J.6 : 3
    27Aspinall N. (14)Bye
    28Chisnall D.Pilgrim D.4 : 6
    29Anderson G. (6)Bye
    30Nijman W.Lovely T.6 : 3
    31Wade J. (11)Bye
    32Menzies C.Edhouse R.6 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Littler L. (1)De Decker M.6 : 1
    2Smith R. (16)Gurney D.6 : 1
    3Searle R. (8)Reyes C.2 : 6
    4Rock J. (9)O'Connor W.6 : 1
    5Rydz C. (Alt)Woodhouse L.4 : 6
    6Dobey C. (13)Scutt C.6 : 0
    7Clayton J. (5)Gawlas A.6 : 4
    8Smith M. (Alt)Cullen J.6 : 5
    9Humphries L. (2)Ratajski K.6 : 5
    10Schindler M. (15)Krcmar B.4 : 6
    11Bunting S. (7)Zonneveld N.6 : 4
    12Noppert D. (10)Wattimena J.5 : 6
    13van Veen G. (3)Gilding A.6 : 5
    14Aspinall N. (14)Pilgrim D.6 : 3
    15Anderson G. (6)Nijman W.2 : 6
    16Wade J. (11)Menzies C.0 : 6

    1/8-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Smith R. (16)6 : 2
    2Reyes C.Rock J. (9)3 : 6
    3Woodhouse L.Dobey C. (13)5 : 6
    4Clayton J. (5)Smith M.4 : 6
    5Humphries L. (2)Krcmar B.6 : 1
    6Bunting S. (7)Wattimena J.6 : 1
    7van Veen G. (3)Aspinall N. (14)6 : 5
    8Nijman W.Menzies C.6 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Rock J. (9)6 : 1
    2Dobey C. (13)Smith M.6 : 2
    3Humphries L. (2)Bunting S. (7)6 : 1
    4van Veen G. (3)Nijman W.6 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Dobey C. (13)
    2Humphries L. (2)van Veen G. (3)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2