Tartu Welco vs Levadia Tallinn U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
34
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
99
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 56', 0 - 1, Aan R. ,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Svedovski A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Laasner K. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Mugra M. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Kala R. ,

Chances of winning


Tartu Welco
66.9%
Draw
16.7%
Levadia Tallinn U21
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 22.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 21.6% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Welco's performance.
  • Levadia Tallinn U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levadia Tallinn U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Welco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia Tallinn U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.75)
    5.43
    (4.08)
    5.55
    (3.54)
    10.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Meistriliiga and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tartu Welco has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tartu Welco is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:38. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco 1:1
    12.07.2025 Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 3:0
    29.05.2025 Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco 3:3
    20.04.2025 Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 1:0
    19.09.2024 Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco 1:0
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
          Esiliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga B