Result
2:1
12/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cambodia | Bayon TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/267) | 84% (364/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/267) | 84% (364/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 77% (109/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (21/29) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.64 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 27', Breninho 🟨,
- 40', Shields C. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Dyer M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Odawara T. ⚽, Shields C. (A),
- 54', Kim Seo-In ↓, Orn C. ↑,
- 54', Sa T. ↓, Lo P. S. ↑,
- 54', Patrick 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Odawara T. ⚽, Peprah K. (A),
- 61', Gutierrez D. ↓, Bong S. ↑,
- 64', Patrick ↓, Nhean S. ↑,
- 65', Shields C. ↓, Min R. ↑,
- 70', Fujii R. 🟨,
- 73', Tiago Alves ↓, Ogawa Y. ↑,
- 74', Kim S. ↓, Sophal D. ↑,
- 76', Pryadun M. ↓, Ratana E. ↑,
- 76', Gryshyn V. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
- 78', Orn C. 🟨,
- 86', Fujii R. ↓, Seut B. ↑,
- 87', Nieto A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Park Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Svay Rieng
53% | Draw
23.2% | Phnom Penh Crown
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svay Rieng's form might have worsened.Phnom Penh Crown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phnom Penh Crown's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Svay Rieng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phnom Penh Crown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.51) |
4
(4) |
3.9 ↓
(5.4) |
7.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Svay Rieng will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Phnom Penh Crown will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 4-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 3.
- Svay Rieng is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Phnom Penh Crown has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Svay Rieng has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Svay Rieng is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Svay Rieng won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Svay Rieng won against Phnom Penh Crown?
Svay Rieng has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phnom Penh Crown won against Svay Rieng?
Phnom Penh Crown has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown were as follows:
05.03.2026
Phnom Penh Crown
-
Svay Rieng
1:4
18.01.2026
Phnom Penh Crown
-
Svay Rieng
2:3
28.09.2025
Svay Rieng
-
Phnom Penh Crown
2:3
03.08.2025
Svay Rieng
-
Phnom Penh Crown
3:2
25.05.2025
Svay Rieng
-
Phnom Penh Crown
1:2
Latest results of Svay Rieng
Latest results of Phnom Penh Crown
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Al Ansar (B2) | Muras United (C1) | |
| 2 | Al-Shabab (A1) | Al Kuwait (B1) | |
| 3 | Svay Rieng (D1) | Phnom Penh Crown (E2) | 2 : 1, 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Dewa United (E1) | Manila Digger (D2) | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
