Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/03/2024 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12
  • Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
125
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
63
Corner Kicks
59
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Red Cards
21
Yellow Cards
44
Attacks
7285
Dangerous Attacks
5759

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Acuna F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Del Angel E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 46', Manriquez S. , Aguirre C. ,
  • 58', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 58', Monreal E. 🟨,
  • 60', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez J. , Rodriguez Carlos ,
  • 61', Mendoza B. , Wlk Dure A. S. ,
  • 71', Acuna F. , Lopez D. ,
  • 71', Cisneros D. , Arellano A. ,
  • 71', Jimenez D. , Lopez J. ,
  • 73', Navarro B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Wlk Dure A. S. ,
  • 90+1', Wlk Dure A. S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cimarrones de Sonora
30.2%
Draw
28.6%
Celaya
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.8% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 30.9% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.6)
    3.22
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.5)
    8.4%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Celaya will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya were as follows:
    05.09.2023 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 1:1
    21.03.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya 1:1
    05.11.2022 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 3:1
    02.11.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya 0:0
    24.08.2022 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 3:1
    Latest results of Celaya
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)