Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Cameron Norrie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	3
Double Faults
1	3
1st serve percentage
75%	61%
1st serve points won
72% (31/43)	61% (28/46)
2nd serve points won
43% (6/14)	38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
1/3	6/10
1st return points won
39% (18/46)	28% (12/43)
2nd return points won
62% (18/29)	57% (8/14)
Break Points Converted
4/10	2/3
Winners
27	15
Unforced errors
26	23
Net points won
67% (8/12)	73% (11/15)
Service Points Won
65% (37/57)	51% (37/73)
Return Points Won
49% (36/73)	35% (20/57)
Total Points Won
56% (73/130)	44% (57/130)
Last 10 balls
5	5
Match points saved
0	3
Service games won
80% (8/10)	56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)	20% (2/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)	37% (7/19)

Chances of winning

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
92.4%

Cameron Norrie
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.5%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 (1.04)		13.07 ↑ (11.17)	3.6% (5.1%)

What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Norrie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 Sets - Norrie (3.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Norrie (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Norrie is ranked ATP: 29.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2.
Alcaraz Garfia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Norrie has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Cameron Norrie?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cameron Norrie won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Cameron Norrie has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie were as follows:

28.10.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie 1:2

08.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3

26.02.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie 1:2

19.02.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie 2:0

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

11.03.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud 2:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech 2:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils 2:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Cameron Norrie

11.03.2026 Rinky Hijikata - Cameron Norrie 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Cameron Norrie - Mackenzie McDonald 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

11.02.2026 Christopher OConnell - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2