Result
28/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
St. George Willawong
57.6% | Draw
21.1% | Capalaba
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George Willawong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. George Willawong's performance.Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. George Willawong that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capalaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. George Willawong - Capalaba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.8) |
4.33 ↑
(3.85) |
4.31 ↑
(3.55) |
9.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of St. George Willawong has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Capalaba is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- St. George Willawong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Capalaba has had a series of home games.
- St. George Willawong could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. George Willawong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, St. George Willawong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has St. George Willawong won against Capalaba?
St. George Willawong has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capalaba won against St. George Willawong?
Capalaba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Willawong - Capalaba were as follows:
03.08.2024
Capalaba
-
St. George Willawong
1:3
28.04.2024
St. George Willawong
-
Capalaba
2:2
Latest results of St. George Willawong
Latest results of Capalaba
Australian Queensland Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Broadbeach Utd | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Logan Lightning | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Holland Park Hawks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Redlands | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | North Star | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Robina City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Capalaba | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: )
Relegation
