Result
0:2
29/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Simao L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/416) | 83% (345/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/416) | 83% (345/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Lucas Eduardo 🟨,
- 13', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
- 44', Cleber 🟨,
- 44', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 44', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Lucas Eduardo ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 68', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 68', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 69', Lucas Ronier ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 71', Thayllon ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 71', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 77', Bruno Melo 🟨,
- 78', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Bruno Melo ⚽, Nicolas Careca (A),
- 82', Emerson Negueba ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 82', DG ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
- 85', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí
30.5% | Draw
34.3% | Coritiba
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coritiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avaí - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(2.07) |
3.18 ↑
(3.1) |
3.02 ↓
(3.65) |
-9.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Coritiba?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
- Recent performances by Avaí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Coritiba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Avaí could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Injury)
JP
(Yellow Cards)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Coritiba?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Avaí?
Coritiba has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Coritiba were as follows:
31.05.2025
Coritiba
-
Avaí
2:1
27.08.2024
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
11.05.2024
Avaí
-
Coritiba
1:0
27.08.2022
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
