Paganese vs Santa Maria Cilento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Paganese - Santa Maria Cilento
Result
4:0
28/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 3 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Paganese
44.1%
Draw
27.1%
Santa Maria Cilento
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 23.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Paganese - Santa Maria Cilento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.07)
    3.32
    (3.26)
    3.12
    (3.26)
    11.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Maria Cilento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Paganese will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paganese
    07.04.2024 Martina Calcio - Paganese 3:1
    24.03.2024 Casarano - Paganese 2:0
    17.03.2024 Paganese - Palmese 1914 3:0
    10.03.2024 Fidelis Andria - Paganese 3:1
    Latest results of Santa Maria Cilento
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano541010:3713
    2Fidelis Andria53209:3611
    3Martina Calcio53208:3511
    4Paganese53026:429
    5Virtus Francavilla522111:838
    6SS Nola 192552218:718
    7Francavilla52216:518
    8Afragolese52128:807
    9Sarnese52128:9-17
    10Heraclea52124:5-17
    11Barletta51315:506
    12Pompei51311:106
    13Manfredonia51138:11-34
    14Ferrandina51133:7-44
    15A.C.D. Nardo51133:8-54
    16Acerrana50324:6-23
    17Real Normanna50233:6-32
    18Gravina50235:11-62

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation