Moncarapachense vs Sporting Lisbon B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Moncarapachense - Sporting Lisbon B
17/12/2022 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
20.2%
Draw
26.6%
Sporting Lisbon B
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 29.8% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 29.3% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moncarapachense - Sporting Lisbon B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.56
    (3.18)
    3.43
    (3.12)
    1.71
    (2.27)
    9.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5Paredes71518:718
    6AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    8AD Fafe61325:9-46
    9Amarante61235:7-25
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    3Mafra62317:709
    41u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    5Academica63038:539
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC62138:627
    8Amora62135:6-17
    9Covilha61324:5-16
    10Atletico CP62044:6-26

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