Sorana Cirstea vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 16:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
67%54%
1st serve points won
61% (27/44)65% (17/26)
2nd serve points won
64% (14/22)45% (10/22)
Break Points Saved
6/77/11
1st return points won
35% (9/26)39% (17/44)
2nd return points won
55% (12/22)36% (8/22)
Break Points Converted
4/111/7
Service Points Won
62% (41/66)56% (27/48)
Return Points Won
44% (21/48)38% (25/66)
Total Points Won
54% (62/114)46% (52/114)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
02
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Sorana Cirstea
47.5%
Elise Mertens
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Sorana Cirstea - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.87)

    1.82
    (1.87)
    4.5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Sorana Cirstea - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: Sorana Cirstea will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sorana Cirstea will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cirstea is ranked WTA: 35. Mertens is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Cirstea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mertens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cirstea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    Latest results of Sorana Cirstea
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)2 : 1
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.2 : 0
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)2 : 1
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)0 : 2
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)0 : 2
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)2 : 1
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.1 : 2
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)0 : 2
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)1 : 2
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 0
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.2 : 1
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Li A.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Wang Xin. (29)2 : 1
    3Zheng Q. (23)Stephens S.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Keys M. (15)0 : 2
    5Svitolina E. (9)Jones E.2 : 0
    6Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 0
    7Ostapenko J. (25)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    8Townsend T.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (3)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    10Rakhimova K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (18)Badosa P.2 : 0
    12Gibson T.Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Tagger L.2 : 0
    14Stearns P.Cristian J. (34)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (26)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 1
    16Jones F. (RET.)Pegula J. (5)0 : 1
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    18Starodubtseva Y.Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    19Shnaider D. (20)Valentova T.2 : 0
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.1 : 2
    22Kalieva E.Mertens E. (21)0 : 2
    23Sakkari M. (33)Parks A.0 : 2
    24Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.2 : 1
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)0 : 2
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)Zakharova A.1 : 2
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.2 : 1
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (RET.) (17)1 : 1
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.2 : 1
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)McNally C.
    2Zheng Q. (23)Keys M. (15)
    3Svitolina E. (9)Baptiste H.
    4Ostapenko J. (25)Paolini J. (7)
    5Rybakina E. (3)Kostyuk M. (27)
    6Jovic I. (18)Gibson T.
    7Alexandrova E. (11)Cristian J. (34)
    8Fernandez L. (26)Pegula J. (5)
    9Anisimova A. (6)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    10Shnaider D. (20)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Cirstea S.Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    12Parks A.Gauff C. (4)
    13Andreeva M. (8)Bouzkova M. (32)2 : 0
    14Zakharova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16Eala A. (31)Linette M.

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Anisimova A. (6)Bencic B. (12)
    6Cirstea S.TBD #12
    7Andreeva M. (8)Mboko V. (10)
    8Muchova K. (13)TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2