Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/03/2026 at 20:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
50%72%
1st serve points won
63% (17/27)85% (33/39)
2nd serve points won
52% (14/27)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
2/51/1
1st return points won
15% (6/39)37% (10/27)
2nd return points won
47% (7/15)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
0/13/5
Winners
1023
Unforced errors
1924
Net points won
25% (1/4)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
57% (31/54)76% (41/54)
Return Points Won
24% (13/54)43% (23/54)
Total Points Won
41% (44/108)59% (64/108)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
32% (6/19)68% (13/19)

Chances of winning


Jack Draper
37.6%
Daniil Medvedev
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jack Draper, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.34)

    1.55
    (1.59)
    3.9%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Medvedev will win (votes: 27 - 84.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 71.8%97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Draper (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Set - Draper (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Draper (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Draper (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Draper (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Medvedev (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draper is ranked ATP: 14. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Draper is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Medvedev is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Medvedev might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Draper won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev 0:2
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.2 : 1
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)2 : 1
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.2 : 0
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)2 : 0
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)1 : 2
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 1
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)1 : 2
    3Bublik A. (10)Hijikata R.1 : 2
    4Norrie C. (27)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 0
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (11)Baez S.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)1 : 2
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)2 : 0
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (13)2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Norrie C. (27)0 : 2
    3Djokovic N. (3)Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (11)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (30)Auger-Aliassime F. (9)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (21)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    7Tien L. (25)Davidovich Fokina A. (18)2 : 1
    8Fonseca J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C. (27)2 : 0
    2Draper J. (14)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    3Fils A. (30)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    4Tien L. (25)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    2Zverev A. (4)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (11)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2