Result
1:1
17/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 30
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/333) | 84% (443/529) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/333) | 84% (443/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/64) | 47% (36/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (66/118) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Witzig C. ⚽, Besio D. (A),
- 33', Daschner L. 🟨,
- 37', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 57', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 64', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 68', Cimignani Y. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 68', Koutsias G. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 77', Balde A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 77', Gortler L. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
- 82', Papadopoulos A. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 84', Besio D. 🟨,
- 90', Besio D. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
- 90', Grgic A. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
St. Gallen
46% | Draw
26.3% | Lugano
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
St. Gallen - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.17) |
3.57 ↓
(3.6) |
3.39 ↑
(2.97) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 61.9% – 89.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lugano (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Lugano (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lugano (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Gallen will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Lugano (votes: 4 - 26.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3.
- St. Gallen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lugano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Gallen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Buttiker P.
(Injury)
Dumrath B.
(Back Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
Neziri B.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Inactive)
Bottani M.
(Inactive)
Cassano C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St. Gallen: Boukhalfa C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Lugano?
St. Gallen has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against St. Gallen?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Lugano were as follows:
26.11.2025
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:3
13.09.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
1:0
13.04.2025
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
05.02.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:1
01.09.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 72:35 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Basel ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 4 | Lugano ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 48:38 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 61:56 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 53:56 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 34:82 | -48 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
