Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (216/285) | 83% (421/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (216/285) | 83% (421/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 54% (38/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 66% (90/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Boukhalfa C. ⚽,
- 36', Stanic J. 🟨,
- 44', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
- 45+4', Steffen R. 🟨,
- 45+5', Gaal T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Vogt A. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 60', Balde A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 60', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 68', Gortler L. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,
- 68', Marques M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 68', Grgic A. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 69', Mai L. 🟨,
- 77', Vandermersch H. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
- 77', Okoroji C. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
- 81', Bislimi U. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Gallen
54.5% | Draw
30.2% | Lugano
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Gallen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Gallen - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.26) |
4.04 ↑
(3.56) |
8.81 ↑
(2.79) |
-16.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Lugano will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Gallen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 2.
- St. Gallen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S.
(Muscle Injury)
Daschner L.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Mahou H.
(Injury)
Zanotti M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Papadopoulos A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Lugano?
St. Gallen has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against St. Gallen?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Lugano were as follows:
13.04.2025
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
05.02.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:1
01.09.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
04.05.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
0:1
09.03.2024
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:3
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Thun | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Basel | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Sion | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Zurich | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Luzern | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 11 | Servette | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
