Result
0:1
11/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/466) | 77% (233/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/466) | 77% (233/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (126/162) | 67% (58/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 1.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Kanu 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Luciano Juba ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
- 34', Olivera C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Andres Gomez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 58', Kanu ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
- 58', Ademir ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 58', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 63', Lucas Piton ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
- 64', Moreira N. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 64', Brenner ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 72', Jean Lucas ↓, Erick ↑,
- 74', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
- 77', Thiago Mendes ↓, GB ↑,
- 83', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 83', Coutinho ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 87', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 90+5', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 90+7', Ronaldo Strada 🟨,
- 90+8', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
42.4% | Draw
28.3% | Bahia
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Vasco da Gama - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.47) |
3.33 ↑
(3.13) |
3.23 ↑
(2.76) |
5.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Bahia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- In recent matches, Vasco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vasco might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Dell
(Red Card)
Ruan Pablo
(Injury)
Sidney Duarte
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Bahia?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vasco da Gama?
Bahia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Bahia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
24.09.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:1
28.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:2
26.06.2024
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
03.09.2023
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
