Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 30
- Referee: Sars J. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/523) | 83% (398/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/523) | 83% (398/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (107/144) | 70% (86/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Frej R. 🟨,
- 26', Boudri A. 🟨,
- 40', Fagerjord J. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Diabate I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rosengren O. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Haksabanovic S. ⚽,
- 60', Boudri A. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 60', Niklasson R. ↓, Holmen K. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. ⚽, Busuladzic K. (A),
- 70', Beckman F. ↓, Cardaklija A. ↑,
- 70', Fagerjord J. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 79', Milovanovic W. ↓, Ekong S. ↑,
- 82', Ekong E. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
- 90+1', Lewicki O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
- 90+3', Cardaklija A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Lundbergh T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Malmö
48.3% | Draw
24.8% | GAIS
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Malmö - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.96) |
3.76 ↓
(3.79) |
3.51 ↓
(3.53) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Malmö - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 6 - 75%). GAIS will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- GAIS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 2.
- Malmö has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- GAIS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- GAIS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Christiansen A.
(Injury)
Johnsen L.
(Inactive)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Sigurdsson A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in GAIS: Krasniqi M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Ali T.
(Inactive)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Rosler C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in GAIS: Wangberg A.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against GAIS?
Malmö has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Malmö?
GAIS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - GAIS were as follows:
05.07.2025
GAIS
-
Malmö
0:0
18.09.2024
GAIS
-
Malmö
0:0
16.05.2024
Malmö
-
GAIS
1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 57:18 | 39 | 75 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 60:29 | 31 | 62 |
| 3 | GAIS ✔ | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | Goteborg | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:32 | 20 | 49 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | AIK | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Sirius | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53:51 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Hacken | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Halmstad | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 24:50 | -26 | 35 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 40:47 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 30 |
| 14 | Norrkoping | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 29 |
| 15 | Oster | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 36:69 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
GAIS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
