Result
6:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 23
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (421/500) | 71% (238/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.47 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (421/500) | 71% (238/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 24% (15/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (126/167) | 42% (36/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 39% (7/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 4.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bilalovic K. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Susoho M. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 2, Muirhead R. ⚽,
- 42', Tait M. 🟨,
- 43', Knoester M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Devlin N. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Nisbet K. ⚽, Frame M. (A),
- 45+8', 3 - 2, Nisbet K. ⚽, Keskinen T. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Smith L. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
- 55', Tait M. ↓, Danso E. ↑,
- 55', Lawal S. ↓, Fati B. ↑,
- 58', Keskinen T. 🟨,
- 59', McLennan C. 🟨,
- 63', Devlin N. ↓, Jensen A. ↑,
- 63', Bilalovic K. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
- 65', Muirhead R. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 69', Milne J. 🟥,
- 70', Bokila J. 🟥,
- 71', Shinnie G. 🟨,
- 72', Cameron L. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 75', 4 - 2, Nilsen S. ⚽, Armstrong S. (A),
- 76', McLennan C. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
- 81', Nisbet K. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 81', Armstrong S. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
- 85', 5 - 2, Keskinen T. ⚽, Shinnie G. (A),
- 90+2', 6 - 2, Keskinen T. ⚽, Olusanya T. (A),
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
52.9% | Draw
25.2% | Livingston
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Aberdeen - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78
(1.78) |
3.72 ↑
(3.6) |
4.34 ↓
(4.56) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Livingston?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Aberdeen (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Aberdeen will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aberdeen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Livingston has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Aberdeen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G.
(Knee Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Morrison L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Livingston?
Aberdeen has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Aberdeen?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Livingston were as follows:
30.11.2025
Livingston
-
Aberdeen
0:1
13.09.2025
Aberdeen
-
Livingston
0:0
15.05.2024
Aberdeen
-
Livingston
5:1
06.04.2024
Livingston
-
Aberdeen
0:0
20.12.2023
Aberdeen
-
Livingston
2:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
