Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/301) | 79% (319/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/301) | 79% (319/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/121) | 64% (72/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Litvinov R. 🟥,
- 28', Bongonda T. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zobnin R. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,
- 46', Ugalde M. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 48', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 52', Solari P. 🟨,
- 62', Mertens D. ↓, Lomovitskiy A. ↑,
- 70', Duarte A. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
- 73', Alshin I. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
- 77', Abena M. 🟨,
- 78', Martins Pereira C. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
- 89', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 90+4', Yakimov V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fakel
16% | Draw
25% | Spartak Moscow
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Fakel - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.04 ↑
(5.58) |
3.85 ↑
(3.77) |
1.63 ↓
(1.75) |
3.7%
(1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fakel - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2.
- Fakel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Spartak M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Spartak M has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Fakel: Kvekveskiri I.
(Yellow Cards)
Motpan N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Red Card)
Barco E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Spartak Moscow?
Fakel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Fakel?
Spartak Moscow has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
18.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
3:0
10.03.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
0:2
28.10.2023
Fakel
-
Spartak Moscow
2:0
11.03.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
3:2
19.10.2022
Fakel
-
Spartak Moscow
1:2
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29:16 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Zenit | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Baltika | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
