Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
- 38', 🟥,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ian Augusto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sousa
54.6% | Draw
26.4% | Santa Cruz de Natal
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.66) |
3.44 ↑
(3.11) |
4.8 ↑
(2.42) |
9.9%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal?
Users Predictions:
Sousa will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sousa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
- Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Cruz de Natal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sousa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Sousa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Sousa?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
19.04.2025
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
1:0
03.07.2024
Sousa
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
18.05.2024
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
2:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Serie D Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional-AM | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Manauara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo RR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Manaus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Monte Roraima | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 6 | GAS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guapore | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Araguaina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Porto Velho | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Galvez | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Humaita | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Primavera AC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goiatuba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Capital | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Mixto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 6 | Operario VG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trem | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Imperatriz | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Oratorio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Iguatu | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Maracana | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Moto Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Parnahyba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sampaio Correa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 6 | IAPE | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense-PI | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Piaui | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | AE Altos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 5 | Atletico-CE | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Tirol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ABC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | America RN | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Central SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Maguary | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Sousa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Serra Branca | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Treze PB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 5 | Retro | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 6 | Decisao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juazeirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | CSA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | ASA | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | CSE | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Jacuipense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 6 | Alagoinhas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Uberlandia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Ivinhema | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Betim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | CRAC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Operario MS | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ouvidorense | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Porto-BA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tombense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rio Branco ES | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Democrata GV | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Vitoria ES | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Agua Santa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | America RJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 5 | Madureira | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Piracicaba | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sampaio Correa FE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Velo Clube | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Marica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Noroeste | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Cascavel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Sao Joseense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Azuriz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 6 | EC Sao Jose | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)
