Result
1:1
06/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/315) | 70% (195/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/315) | 70% (195/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 43% (30/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (58/103) | 58% (61/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Khaled A. 🟨,
- 18', Sabry M. 🟨,
- 25', Rizk M. 🟨,
- 31', Zaazaa A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Zaazaa A. 🟨,
- 62', Khaled A. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
- 62', El Zahdi A. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,
- 63', Mosaad M. ↓, Eba A. ↑,
- 68', El Metwaly R. ↓, Shika A. ↑,
- 68', Sabry M. ↓, Chika G. ↑,
- 77', Gamal A. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Ibrahim H. ⚽, Ojo T. (A),
- 83', El Sayed B. 🟨,
- 83', Rizk M. ↓, Reda K. ↑,
- 83', Hassan H. ↓, Mamdouh M. ↑,
- 88', El Sayed B. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 88', Ojo T. ↓, Turay A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Mohamed G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
30% | Draw
34.8% | Modern Sport
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Modern Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
El Gouna - Modern Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.38) |
2.64 ↓
(2.69) |
2.62 ↑
(2.45) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Modern Sport?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Modern Sport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modern Sport: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Modern Sport (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modern Sport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Modern Sport?
El Gouna has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modern Sport won against El Gouna?
Modern Sport has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Modern Sport were as follows:
17.01.2026
Modern Sport
-
El Gouna
0:2
07.05.2025
El Gouna
-
Modern Sport
0:1
16.04.2025
El Gouna
-
Modern Sport
0:0
26.02.2025
Modern Sport
-
El Gouna
2:3
27.06.2024
El Gouna
-
Modern Sport
0:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Modern Sport
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
