Aurora vs Astralis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • COUNTER-STRIKE: ESL Pro League Season 23 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Aurora
52.3%
Astralis
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Astralis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Aurora - Astralis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.81)

    1.99
    (1.99)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astralis won 1.
    • In recent matches, Astralis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aurora is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Astralis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Astralis were as follows:
    18.02.2026 Aurora - Astralis 2:0
    01.12.2025 Aurora - Astralis 1:2
    30.10.2025 Aurora - Astralis 2:1
    05.10.2025 Aurora - Astralis 2:1
    12.09.2025 Aurora - Astralis 2:1
    Latest results of Aurora
    13.03.2026 Legacy - Aurora 1:2
    09.03.2026 G2 Esports - Aurora 0:2
    08.03.2026 paiN Gaming - Aurora 0:2
    07.03.2026 The MongolZ - Aurora 2:0
    06.03.2026 Aurora - Legacy 2:1
    Latest results of Astralis
    13.03.2026 Astralis - Team Spirit 2:0
    10.03.2026 FURIA Esports - Astralis 1:2
    09.03.2026 Astralis - FaZe Clan 2:1
    08.03.2026 Legacy - Astralis 2:0
    07.03.2026 MOUZ - Astralis 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1AstralisTeam Spirit2 : 0
    2LegacyAurora1 : 2
    3The MongolzNaVi0 : 2
    4MOUZFUT Esports1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1AstralisAurora1 : 2
    2NaViFUT Esports2 : 1

    Final
    1AuroraNaVi1 : 3

    3rd place
    2AstralisFUT Esports2 : 1