Result
2:0
26/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (34/53) | 52% (22/42) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 55% (11/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 36% (19/53) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 20% (2/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 100% (3/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 53% (33/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 43% (34/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (74/141) | 48% (67/141) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Francis Tiafoe
64.9% | Mattia Bellucci
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.5) |
|
2.71 ↑
(2.62) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francis Tiafoe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 110.
- Tiafoe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bellucci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Mattia Bellucci?
Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Francis Tiafoe?
Mattia Bellucci has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
27.05.2024
Mattia Bellucci
-
Francis Tiafoe
2:3
Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (WC) | Norrie C. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Duckworth J. | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. (WC) | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Hijikata R. (LL) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Altmaier D. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Vacherot V. (6) | Wong C. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Dzumhur D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. | Ymer E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Kypson P. (Q) | De Minaur A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Wu Y. | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vacherot V. (6) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. | Kypson P. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wu Y. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (6) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cobolli F. (5) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
