Sassuolo vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia).

Serie A - Round 35
Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3, Orange Futbol 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	0.24
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	3
Passes
93% (509/548)	87% (340/393)
Yellow cards
4	4
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.92	0.00
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
10	2
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
25	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
16	16
Passes
93% (509/548)	87% (340/393)
Long passes
70% (32/46)	74% (20/27)
Passes in final third
82% (102/124)	77% (101/131)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.49
Throw ins
8	11
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
61% (11/18)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
45	37
Clearances
21	13
Interceptions
13	1
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.23	0.92
Goals prevented
0.23	-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Berardi D. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
9', Tomori F. 🟨,
24', Tomori F. 🟨,
38', Matic N. 🟨,
40', Idzes J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nkunku C. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
46', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
57', Garcia U. 🟨,
59', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
59', Leao R. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
59', Fofana Y. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
59', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
66', Jashari A. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
71', Ricci S. 🟨,
77', Loftus-Cheek R. 🟨,
84', Nzola M. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
84', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
89', Volpato C. 🟨,
90+4', Fadera A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sassuolo
20.7%

Draw
24%

Milan
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

23%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

24.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sassuolo - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.1)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	4.5% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sassuolo - Milan?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Milan will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Modric L. (Broken cheekbone)
There are questionable in Sassuolo: Bakola D. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Milan?

Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Sassuolo?

Milan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sassuolo - Milan were as follows:

14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2

03.12.2024 Milan - Sassuolo 6:1

14.04.2024 Sassuolo - Milan 3:3

30.12.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 1:0

29.01.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 2:5

Latest results of Sassuolo

26.04.2026 Fiorentina - Sassuolo 0:0 ✺

17.04.2026 Sassuolo - Como 2:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Genoa - Sassuolo 2:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Sassuolo - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Juventus - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Milan

26.04.2026 Milan - Juventus 0:0 ✺

19.04.2026 Verona - Milan 0:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Milan - Udinese 0:3 ✺

06.04.2026 Napoli - Milan 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Milan - Torino 3:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter ✔	35	26	4	5	82:31	51	82
2	Napoli	35	21	7	7	52:33	19	70
3	AC Milan	35	19	10	6	48:29	19	67
4	Juventus	35	18	11	6	58:30	28	65
5	Como	35	17	11	7	59:28	31	62
6	AS Roma	34	19	4	11	48:29	19	61
7	Atalanta	35	14	13	8	47:32	15	55
8	Bologna	35	14	7	14	42:41	1	49
9	Sassuolo	35	14	7	14	43:44	-1	49
10	Lazio	34	12	12	10	37:33	4	48
11	Udinese	35	13	8	14	43:46	-3	47
12	Parma	35	10	12	13	25:42	-17	42
13	Torino	35	11	8	16	39:58	-19	41
14	Genoa	35	10	10	15	40:48	-8	40
15	Cagliari	35	9	10	16	36:49	-13	37
16	Fiorentina	34	8	13	13	38:45	-7	37
17	Lecce	35	8	8	19	24:47	-23	32
18	Cremonese	34	6	10	18	26:51	-25	28
19	Verona ✔	35	3	11	21	24:57	-33	20
20	Pisa ✔	35	2	12	21	25:63	-38	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B