Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 14
- Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass Four, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (204/265) | 85% (415/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (204/265) | 85% (415/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 62% (33/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (78/106) | 78% (115/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 1, Roberto Firmino ⚽,
- 55', 0 - 2, Giovani ⚽,
- 58', Diaz F. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 58', Traore D. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 59', Khoukhi B. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Al Oui A. ⚽, Surag A. (A),
- 71', El Hannach Y. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 76', Jang Hyun-Soo ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 76', Hamed J. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 76', Fadlalla S. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
- 80', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
- 86', Mujica R. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
- 86', Giovani ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 88', Roberto Firmino 🟨,
- 89', Djalo A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Afif A. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
- 90+9', Afif A. ↓, Al Yazidi A. ↑,
- 90+9', Claudinho ↓, Abweny A. ↑,
- 90+10', Salman T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
20.1% | Draw
22.1% | Al-Sadd
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.58 ↑
(3.71) |
4.18 ↑
(4.16) |
1.6 ↓
(1.76) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Al-Sadd (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Al-Sadd (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
- Al-Gharafa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Sadd is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Sadd is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:64. (average 1.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:41. (average 1.5:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Gharafa has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Sadd has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd were as follows:
01.09.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Sadd
3:3
28.08.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Gharafa
2:0
14.05.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Sadd
3:2
27.02.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Sadd
0:4
26.09.2024
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Gharafa
4:2
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Gharafa | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 | Shamal | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Al Arabi | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28:29 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Qatar SC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 26:43 | -17 | 12 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:23 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
