Result
15/09/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo
27.6% | Draw
35.1% | Ferrocarril Midland
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrocarril Midland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3
(3.3) |
2.59 ↓
(2.92) |
2.44 ↑
(2.22) |
10%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.
- Recent form of Deportivo Merlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrocarril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Merlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ferrocarril could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Ferrocarril Midland?
Deportivo Merlo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrocarril Midland won against Deportivo Merlo?
Ferrocarril Midland has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
26.04.2025
Ferrocarril Midland
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:0
27.10.2024
Ferrocarril Midland
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:0
09.06.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Ferrocarril Midland
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Villa San Carlos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Sacachispas | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Flandria | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Brown Adrogue | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sportivo Italiano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Argentino de Quilmes | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Acassuso | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Villa Dalmine | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Excursionistas | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Argentino de Merlo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Liniers | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Dock Sud | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | Fenix | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
