Result
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 23', 🟨,
- 28', Arango M. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
- 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
- 42', Pata L. 🟨,
- 45', Pata L. ↓, Velazco N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
- 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
- 55', Castano S. 🟨,
- 56', Mena D. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
- 69', Guzman L. ↓, Alfonso S. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz A. ↓, Escudero L. ↑,
- 81', Scaramuzzi E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 83', Vera I. 🟨,
- 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 88', Schiavulli T. ↓, Gallardo G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excursionistas
43.4% | Draw
31.4% | Argentino de Quilmes
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.87) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
3.62 ↓
(4.18) |
9.5%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
Users Predictions:
Argentino de Quilmes will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
- Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against Argentino de Quilmes?
Excursionistas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentino de Quilmes won against Excursionistas?
Argentino de Quilmes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
09.02.2025
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
2:1
02.12.2024
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
1:0
23.11.2024
Excursionistas
-
Argentino de Quilmes
0:0
26.10.2024
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
1:1
09.06.2024
Excursionistas
-
Argentino de Quilmes
2:3
Latest results of Excursionistas
Latest results of Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Villa San Carlos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Sacachispas | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Flandria | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Brown Adrogue | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sportivo Italiano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Argentino de Quilmes | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Acassuso | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Villa Dalmine | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Excursionistas | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Argentino de Merlo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Liniers | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Dep. Merlo | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Dock Sud | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 11 |
| 20 | Fenix | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
